Preseason College Basketball Rankings

D1 Men's College basketball tips off today! Here are my preseason rankings:

Rank	School	Conf	ProjVal
1	Kentucky	SEC	41.1
2	Michigan St.	B10	39.8
3	Gonzaga	WCC	39.1
4	Duke	ACC	39.1
5	Florida	SEC	39.0
6	North Carolina	ACC	37.8
7	Louisville	ACC	37.3
8	Kansas	B12	37.2
9	Virginia	ACC	37.0
10	Purdue	B10	35.3
11	Baylor	B12	33.9
12	Arizona	P12	33.5
13	Villanova	BE	33.0
14	Arkansas	SEC	32.5
15	Oregon	P12	32.4
16	VCU	A10	32.1
17	Harvard	Ivy	32.0
18	Michigan	B10	32.0
19	N.C. State	ACC	31.9
20	Maryland	B10	31.7
21	Houston	Amer	31.6
22	Cincinnati	Amer	31.4
23	LSU	SEC	31.2
24	Georgetown	BE	31.2
25	Illinois	B10	31.1
26	Memphis	Amer	31.1
27	Marquette	BE	31.0
28	Ohio St.	B10	30.7
29	Saint Mary's	WCC	30.6
30	BYU	WCC	30.5
31	Creighton	BE	30.5
32	Texas Tech	B12	30.4
33	Colorado	P12	30.2
34	Xavier	BE	30.1
35	Seton Hall	BE	29.9
36	Wisconsin	B10	29.8
37	Auburn	SEC	29.6
38	Oklahoma St.	B12	29.4
39	Washington	P12	29.3
40	Georgia	SEC	29.2
41	Notre Dame	ACC	29.2
42	Florida St.	ACC	29.1
43	Iowa	B10	29.1
44	Davidson	A10	28.9
45	Tennessee	SEC	28.8
46	Utah St.	MWC	28.6
47	Penn St.	B10	28.6
48	Providence	BE	28.3
49	Alabama	SEC	28.2
50	Mississippi St.	SEC	28.1
51	Texas	B12	28.0
52	East Tennessee St.	SC	28.0
53	Pittsburgh	ACC	28.0
54	Missouri	SEC	27.9
55	South Florida	Amer	27.9
56	Mississippi	SEC	27.8
57	New Mexico St.	WAC	27.7
58	USC	P12	27.5
59	Rutgers	B10	27.5
60	Butler	BE	27.4
61	Western Kentucky	CUSA	27.4
62	Dayton	A10	26.9
63	Georgia Tech	ACC	26.9
64	Belmont	OVC	26.5
65	Indiana	B10	26.4
66	West Virginia	B12	26.2
67	Liberty	ASun	26.1
68	Oklahoma	B12	26.1
69	Kansas St.	B12	26.0
70	TCU	B12	26.0
71	Iowa St.	B12	25.8
72	San Francisco	WCC	25.6
73	Temple	Amer	25.4
74	Oregon St.	P12	25.3
75	Texas A&M	SEC	25.1
76	Syracuse	ACC	25.0
77	Vermont	AE	24.9
78	Colgate	Pat	24.7
79	Wofford	SC	24.6
80	Arizona St.	P12	24.6
81	Connecticut	Amer	24.5
82	Minnesota	B10	24.4
83	UCF	Amer	24.3
84	Clemson	ACC	24.2
85	Furman	SC	24.2
86	South Carolina	SEC	24.1
87	Miami FL	ACC	24.1
88	Wichita St.	Amer	23.9
89	Virginia Tech	ACC	23.9
90	Murray St.	OVC	23.8
91	Northwestern	B10	23.7
92	Boston College	ACC	23.7
93	SMU	Amer	23.4
94	Samford	SC	23.4
95	Rhode Island	A10	23.4
96	Boise St.	MWC	23.3
97	Duquesne	A10	23.3
98	St. John's	BE	23.2
99	UNC Greensboro	SC	23.2
100	DePaul	BE	23.2
101	Toledo	MAC	23.1
102	Loyola Chicago	MVC	23.1
103	Drake	MVC	23.0
104	Wright St.	Horz	22.9
105	Tulsa	Amer	22.9
106	Georgia Southern	SB	22.8
107	Bowling Green	MAC	22.8
108	Illinois Chicago	Horz	22.6
109	Buffalo	MAC	22.6
110	Pepperdine	WCC	22.5
111	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	22.5
112	Akron	MAC	22.4
113	Northern Kentucky	Horz	22.4
114	Fresno St.	MWC	22.4
115	Seattle	WAC	22.2
116	Northern Iowa	MVC	22.2
117	San Diego St.	MWC	22.0
118	South Alabama	SB	22.0
119	Radford	BSth	21.9
120	Ball St.	MAC	21.9
121	UCLA	P12	21.8
122	UNLV	MWC	21.6
123	Richmond	A10	21.5
124	Missouri St.	MVC	21.5
125	Northern Illinois	MAC	21.5
126	Grand Canyon	WAC	21.4
127	UTSA	CUSA	21.4
128	Penn	Ivy	21.4
129	North Florida	ASun	21.4
130	Hofstra	CAA	21.4
131	Texas St.	SB	21.3
132	Wake Forest	ACC	21.3
133	Green Bay	Horz	21.2
134	Charleston	CAA	21.2
135	Mercer	SC	21.2
136	Stanford	P12	21.2
137	George Mason	A10	21.1
138	Bradley	MVC	21.0
139	San Diego	WCC	21.0
140	UC Irvine	BW	20.9
141	St. Bonaventure	A10	20.8
142	Miami OH	MAC	20.8
143	Loyola Marymount	WCC	20.7
144	North Dakota St.	Sum	20.7
145	Central Michigan	MAC	20.7
146	UAB	CUSA	20.6
147	Yale	Ivy	20.6
148	Old Dominion	CUSA	20.6
149	Brown	Ivy	20.6
150	Saint Louis	A10	20.5
151	Cal St. Northridge	BW	20.5
152	North Texas	CUSA	20.5
153	Lipscomb	ASun	20.4
154	Kent St.	MAC	20.3
155	Santa Clara	WCC	20.3
156	Northeastern	CAA	20.3
157	Dartmouth	Ivy	20.2
158	UT Arlington	SB	20.2
159	Rider	MAAC	20.2
160	Bucknell	Pat	20.1
161	Colorado St.	MWC	20.1
162	New Mexico	MWC	20.1
163	South Dakota	Sum	20.0
164	Vanderbilt	SEC	19.9
165	Cal Baptist	WAC	19.9
166	Indiana St.	MVC	19.9
167	Northern Colorado	BSky	19.9
168	Gardner Webb	BSth	19.8
169	Hawaii	BW	19.7
170	Washington St.	P12	19.7
171	Nevada	MWC	19.5
172	Columbia	Ivy	19.5
173	Loyola MD	Pat	19.5
174	Air Force	MWC	19.4
175	Iona	MAAC	19.4
176	American	Pat	19.3
177	Nebraska Omaha	Sum	19.3
178	Nebraska	B10	19.2
179	Princeton	Ivy	19.2
180	Weber St.	BSky	19.1
181	Georgia St.	SB	19.1
182	Utah	P12	19.0
183	Florida Atlantic	CUSA	18.9
184	Stony Brook	AE	18.8
185	Utah Valley	WAC	18.7
186	Youngstown St.	Horz	18.7
187	Boston University	Pat	18.7
188	UC Santa Barbara	BW	18.6
189	Southern Illinois	MVC	18.6
190	LIU	NEC	18.6
191	Sacred Heart	NEC	18.6
192	Appalachian St.	SB	18.6
193	UMBC	AE	18.5
194	Little Rock	SB	18.5
195	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	18.4
196	Northern Arizona	BSky	18.3
197	Charleston Southern	BSth	18.3
198	Louisiana Monroe	SB	18.3
199	Detroit	Horz	18.3
200	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	18.3
201	UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	18.2
202	California	P12	18.2
203	Marshall	CUSA	18.2
204	Evansville	MVC	18.1
205	Middle Tennessee	CUSA	18.0
206	Coastal Carolina	SB	18.0
207	Southern Miss	CUSA	17.9
208	Albany	AE	17.9
209	Austin Peay	OVC	17.9
210	Rice	CUSA	17.9
211	NJIT	ASun	17.9
212	Montana	BSky	17.7
213	Portland St.	BSky	17.7
214	FIU	CUSA	17.6
215	Oral Roberts	Sum	17.6
216	Towson	CAA	17.5
217	Oakland	Horz	17.5
218	UMKC	WAC	17.5
219	La Salle	A10	17.4
220	South Dakota St.	Sum	17.4
221	Western Carolina	SC	17.4
222	Lehigh	Pat	17.4
223	UMass Lowell	AE	17.3
224	Sacramento St.	BSky	17.3
225	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	17.2
226	Southern Utah	BSky	17.1
227	George Washington	A10	17.1
228	Army	Pat	17.0
229	Lafayette	Pat	17.0
230	Fairfield	MAAC	17.0
231	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	16.9
232	Fordham	A10	16.8
233	Purdue Fort Wayne	Sum	16.8
234	Hampton	BSth	16.7
235	New Orleans	Slnd	16.7
236	Jacksonville St.	OVC	16.6
237	Montana St.	BSky	16.6
238	St. Francis PA	NEC	16.5
239	UTEP	CUSA	16.5
240	Winthrop	BSth	16.5
241	Eastern Illinois	OVC	16.4
242	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	16.3
243	IUPUI	Horz	16.2
244	James Madison	CAA	16.2
245	Eastern Washington	BSky	16.2
246	North Dakota	Sum	16.2
247	Nicholls St.	Slnd	16.1
248	Abilene Christian	Slnd	16.1
249	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	16.0
250	William & Mary	CAA	16.0
251	Monmouth	MAAC	15.9
252	Jacksonville	ASun	15.9
253	Quinnipiac	MAAC	15.9
254	Massachusetts	A10	15.9
255	Texas Southern	SWAC	15.8
256	Drexel	CAA	15.8
257	Cornell	Ivy	15.8
258	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	15.7
259	Eastern Michigan	MAC	15.7
260	Campbell	BSth	15.7
261	Charlotte	CUSA	15.7
262	Presbyterian	BSth	15.7
263	VMI	SC	15.7
264	Pacific	WCC	15.6
265	Chattanooga	SC	15.6
266	Western Michigan	MAC	15.5
267	Siena	MAAC	15.5
268	Canisius	MAAC	15.5
269	Illinois St.	MVC	15.4
270	Arkansas St.	SB	15.4
271	Valparaiso	MVC	15.4
272	Hartford	AE	15.4
273	Central Arkansas	Slnd	15.3
274	St. Francis NY	NEC	15.2
275	Houston Baptist	Slnd	15.2
276	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	15.2
277	Western Illinois	Sum	15.1
278	Milwaukee	Horz	15.1
279	Tulane	Amer	15.1
280	Robert Morris	NEC	15.1
281	Saint Joseph's	A10	15.0
282	UNC Wilmington	CAA	15.0
283	Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	15.0
284	Ohio	MAC	14.9
285	UC Riverside	BW	14.9
286	The Citadel	SC	14.8
287	Portland	WCC	14.8
288	Lamar	Slnd	14.8
289	North Alabama	ASun	14.8
290	Morehead St.	OVC	14.8
291	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	14.7
292	Louisiana	SB	14.7
293	UC Davis	BW	14.7
294	Grambling St.	SWAC	14.6
295	Longwood	BSth	14.5
296	Manhattan	MAAC	14.3
297	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	14.3
298	East Carolina	Amer	14.3
299	Morgan St.	MEAC	14.2
300	Navy	Pat	14.1
301	Tennessee Martin	OVC	13.8
302	Holy Cross	Pat	13.6
303	Cleveland St.	Horz	13.6
304	Delaware	CAA	13.6
305	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	13.6
306	Troy	SB	13.6
307	South Carolina St.	MEAC	13.5
308	McNeese St.	Slnd	13.5
309	High Point	BSth	13.4
310	Alabama St.	SWAC	13.3
311	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	13.2
312	Howard	MEAC	13.1
313	Norfolk St.	MEAC	13.1
314	Long Beach St.	BW	13.1
315	Jackson St.	SWAC	13.1
316	Wyoming	MWC	13.0
317	Florida A&M	MEAC	13.0
318	Idaho St.	BSky	12.8
319	Elon	CAA	12.8
320	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	12.7
321	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	12.6
322	North Carolina Central	MEAC	12.5
323	Bryant	NEC	12.5
324	Denver	Sum	12.5
325	Saint Peter's	MAAC	12.3
326	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	12.3
327	Cal Poly	BW	12.2
328	Tennessee Tech	OVC	12.0
329	Niagara	MAAC	12.0
330	Kennesaw St.	ASun	11.8
331	Marist	MAAC	11.8
332	Tennessee St.	OVC	11.6
333	Alcorn St.	SWAC	11.2
334	Wagner	NEC	11.1
335	Stetson	ASun	11.1
336	Central Connecticut	NEC	10.9
337	USC Upstate	BSth	10.8
338	Coppin St.	MEAC	10.1
339	UNC Asheville	BSth	10.0
340	San Jose St.	MWC	9.9
341	Binghamton	AE	9.8
342	Alabama A&M	SWAC	9.8
343	Incarnate Word	Slnd	9.7
344	Maine	AE	9.5
345	Southern	SWAC	9.5
346	Northwestern St.	Slnd	9.4
347	Idaho	BSky	8.9
348	New Hampshire	AE	8.7
349	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	6.6
350	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	6.3
351	Delaware St.	MEAC	5.9
352	Chicago St.	WAC	4.7
UR	Merrimack	NEC	0.0

Using player, team, and recruiting data from realgm.com, sports-reference.com, 247sports.com, and kenpom.com - as well as player rankings from CBS Sports, SB Nation, and Three Man Weave - I've put together rankings that assign a projected value to each school's roster.  The total value for a school represents the total number of pace adjusted offensive points per 40 minutes the players on the roster are projected to provide above the school with the lowest offensive production, plus the total number of pace adjusted points allowed per 40 minutes the players are projected to provide below the school with the most projected points allowed.  Individual Player projections combine offensive and defensive ratings per possession.  Offensive ratings per possession include points scored per possession, the opportunity cost of missed shots and turnovers, offensive rebound value, assist value, team offensive production, and strength of opposing defenses.  Defensive ratings include defensive rebounding value, steal value, block value, foul value, team points allowed per possession, and strength of opposing offenses.  Projections assume average growth based on class and age (when available) calculated using a player data set from the last 15 seasons.  They also incorporate the Top 100 player ranking data from CBS Sports, SB Nation and Three Man Weave.  Freshman recruit value is calculated using a regression on the top 200 ranked recruits from 247sports for the last 10 seasons.  Recruits outside the top 200 are assumed to be at replacement level for their freshman seasons. The formula for player projections requires team data from last year - so Merrimack is Unranked.