The Q Rating

Projected Scores and Win Probabilities for Saturday Tournament Games: Winning Percentages are calculated using Pythagorean Win Expectation . Extensive analysis of my rating system has revealed that 11 is the best exponent.  As such the formula is  (ExpectedTeamScore^11) / (ExpectedTeamScore^11 + ExpectedOpponentScore^11) Gonzaga 95 (99.2%) Norfolk St. 62 (0.8%) Oklahoma 74 (55.5%) Missouri 72 (44.5%) Creighton 74 (73.1%) UC Santa Barbara 68 (26.9%) Virginia 77 (88.2%)* Not adjusted for COVID issues Ohio 64 (11.8%) USC 75 (84.8%) Drake 64 (15.2%) Kansas 78 (88.4%)* Not adjusted for COVID issues Eastern Washington 65 (11.6%) Oregon 70 (62.0%) VCU 67 (38.0%) Iowa 81 (88.9%) Grand Canyon 67 (11.1%) Michigan 84 (98.3%)* Not adjusted for key injury Texas Southern 58 (1.7%) LSU 73 (56.1%) St. Bonaventure 71 (43.9%) Colorado 72 (75.5%) Georgetown 65 (24.5%) Florida St. 80 (87.9%) UNC Greensboro 67 (12.1%) BYU 74 (52.2%) UCLA 73 (47.8%) Texas 74 (78.6%) Abilene Christian 66 (21.4%) Con...